Spectrum Pharmaceuticals: Will Rolontis Substantially Increase Prospects?

Summary

• Fusilev delivered opportunistic growth for Spectrum but earnings are now dependent on the six approved cancer drugs.
• Despite lackluster sales, approved therapeutics generate meaningful incomes to fund further innovation.
• Developing molecules (poziotinib and Rolontis) are likely to post positive data (and to deliver significant sales).

During the 2009 to 2012 leucovorin shortage, shares of Spectrum Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:SPPI) (a firm that focuses on the development and commercialization of drugs to treat blood disorders and cancers) soared from $5 to $17 peak. The company's lead drug, Fusilev, a pure racemic form of leucovorin, is used as a folate analog for methotrexate rescue therapy. It is also indicated in combinations with 5-fluorouracil for the palliative management of advanced metastatic colorectal cancer.

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Natural Health Trends: How To Profit From This Aggressive Grower

Summary

• Despite generating less income for Q1 2017 due to a delay in distributors recruiting, business fundamentals remain strong.

• Valuation metrics indicate that the firm is on sales at a significant bargain.

• The prudent course of action is to initiate small purchases while awaiting the upcoming quarter results.

Background

Similar to notable companies operating in the wellness products market, Natural Health Trends (NASDAQ:NHTC) suffered substantial share price depreciation in 2015 due to activist investors’ campaigns and regulatory difficulties. As Chinese authorities probed the firm’s alleged multi-level marketing (“MLM”) practice, the stock tumbled from its $51 peak on Nov. 13, 2015, to $17 by Jan 16 a year ago.

In the triumphant note for shareholders, Natural Health Trends has been vigorously defending against all claims, and thus brought the stock back to $28 as of late. Activism asides, the firm is posting robust yearly earnings growth. And yet, its valuation metrics are highly favorable.

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GNC Holdings: An Obsolete Business Model Facing Industry Headwinds

Summary

• Hoping to reverse the declining trend in same-store sales growth, GNC is ramping up sales/marketing campaigns. Insiders also increased share purchases as tokens of confidence.

• Despite valiant turnaround efforts, the traditional bricks-and-mortar business model for the wellness products is becoming obsolete due to changing industry fundamentals.

• Increasing competition from MLM and e-commerce operators significantly strain GNC's chances of a turnaround. Financial metrics also indicate undue risks for prudent investment.

Headquartered in Pittsburgh, Penn., GNC Holdings (NYSE:GNC) -- the leading global retailer of wellness products and nutrition -- is illustrative of a growth company that previously delivered stellar earnings, yet is now transitioned into a declining phase. Consequently, the share price has been trending down to match its degrading intrinsic value. Accordingly, the stock traded more than 70% lower in the past year. Despite exhaustive efforts by stellar management, the supplement business is undergoing a fundamental shift, thus hampering any chances of a successful turnaround.

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